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CultureCommentaryAug 4, 2026

Why targeting guerrilla groups and cartels doesn’t stop violence in Latin America – but focusing on geography might

Environmental features and geography may be a better predictor of homicides in Latin America than the prevalence of organized crime gangs. That’s what we found in a recent study that analyzed homicide patterns across Colombian municipalities between 2010 and 2020. As researchers in place-based criminology, we were interested in understanding whether the locations where violence occurs matter more than the prevalence of organized crime groups operating within them. So we compared violence levels against the prevalence or proximity of certain environmental and geographical factors, including co…

The Conversation / 5 min read